Orioles vs Mariners Preview June 18: Bryan Woo vs Shane Baz at T-Mobile Park | Standings, Injuries & Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles and Seattle Mariners square off Thursday afternoon at T-Mobile Park in a game that carries real weight in the AL West and wild-card race. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. PDT on June 18, 2026.

Global time conversions for fans watching worldwide:

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  • Seattle (PDT): 1:10 p.m.
  • New York (EDT): 4:10 p.m.
  • London (BST): 9:10 p.m.
  • India (IST): 1:40 a.m. (June 19)

The roof at T-Mobile Park should stay open under sunny skies. Temperatures will climb to around 76°F with light north winds — classic early-summer Seattle baseball weather that usually plays neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly.

Current Standings Snapshot

AL West (as of June 17, 2026)

Team W L PCT GB
Seattle Mariners 38 36 .514
Other AL West teams trail 0.5–8.0

AL East (relevant for Orioles)

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Team W L PCT GB
New York Yankees 44 27 .620
Tampa Bay Rays 41 29 .586 2.5
Toronto Blue Jays 35 38 .479 10.0
Baltimore Orioles 34 40 .459 11.5

The Mariners sit atop the AL West after taking two of three from these same Orioles earlier in the homestand. Baltimore has hovered around .500 but carries a negative run differential and sits outside the wild-card picture.

Injury Updates & Team News

The Orioles continue to battle the injury bug. First baseman Ryan Mountcastle remains on the 60-day IL with a foot fracture. Outfielder Dylan Beavers is dealing with an oblique strain. Pitchers Dean Kremer (quad) and Cade Povich (elbow) are also sidelined. Closer Ryan Helsley was activated recently and should provide a late-inning boost.

For Seattle, catcher Cal Raleigh returned from his oblique injury and already delivered key hits in the series. Shortstop J.P. Crawford is also back. The biggest question mark is closer Andrés Muñoz, who has dealt with back tightness.

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Probable Pitchers & Expected Lineups

Team Pitcher Record ERA Notes
Mariners Bryan Woo (RHP) 5-5 4.28 Strong home numbers, elite control, 24% K-rate
Orioles Shane Baz (RHP) 4-6 4.06 Post-Tommy John, velocity still there but command fluctuates

Woo has been a steady presence for Seattle. His sinker and splitter combination keeps the ball on the ground and limits hard contact. Baz brings plus velocity but has struggled to miss enough bats against lefties this season.

Expected top of the order (subject to last-minute changes):

  • Mariners: J.P. Crawford, Julio Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh, etc.
  • Orioles: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman or Samuel Basallo, Pete Alonso, etc.

Weather, Pitch Report & Ballpark Factors

T-Mobile Park in June often features a marine layer that can keep fly balls in the yard, especially in day games. With sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s, expect a true ballpark — not a bandbox. The dimensions favor pitchers who can command the lower half of the zone. Dew point should stay comfortable; no rain expected.

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

The teams split their earlier four-game set in Baltimore. In the current Seattle series, the Mariners took Game 1 behind Logan Gilbert’s gem and won Game 2 3-1. Seattle holds the edge in starting pitching depth and home-field comfort right now.

Key Player Battles

  • Gunnar Henderson vs Bryan Woo: Henderson’s power-speed combo is the heartbeat of Baltimore’s offense. Woo’s ability to keep the ball down will decide how much damage Henderson can do.
  • Cal Raleigh vs Orioles pitching: Raleigh’s return has already paid dividends. His power against right-handers makes him a constant threat to change the game with one swing.
  • Julio Rodríguez’s speed & impact: When Rodríguez gets on base, he forces Orioles defenses to play differently. Baltimore’s outfield has dealt with injuries, which could open extra-base opportunities.

Fantasy Team Tips (Dream11 / DraftKings / FanDuel style)

Strong considerations:

  • Bryan Woo as a high-floor SP1 — excellent control and home start.
  • Cal Raleigh or Julio Rodríguez as power/speed captain or vice-captain options.
  • Gunnar Henderson remains a must-play despite the tough matchup.
  • Look for value in Mariners bullpen arms if the game stays close — Seattle’s late-inning group has been reliable.

Smaller leagues: Stack the Mariners offense lightly and pair with Woo. Grand League: Differentiate with a contrarian Orioles bat (maybe a returning Adley Rutschman) or a high-strikeout Orioles reliever.

Match Prediction & Win Outlook

Seattle enters as the clearer favorite at home with the better recent pitching and the return of key lineup pieces. Bryan Woo’s ground-ball tendencies play well here. Expect a low-to-mid scoring game.

Projected outcome: Mariners win probability in the 58-62% range. A 4-2 or 3-2 final score feels plausible. Baltimore can steal it if Baz finds his best stuff and the Orioles bullpen (now with Helsley) keeps things close into the late innings.

The marine air and Woo’s sinker should keep the ball in the yard. If Raleigh continues his hot return, the Mariners’ lineup suddenly looks much more dangerous than it did a week ago.

How to Watch Live – TV, Streaming & Global Access

  • United States: MASN (Orioles regional), Mariners.TV / ROOT Sports (Mariners), MLB.TV (out-of-market)
  • International / India: MLB.TV is the primary option (geo-restrictions apply in many regions — reputable VPN services are commonly used by fans to access full live streams and archives). Check local sports apps or YouTube for condensed highlights shortly after the game.
  • Radio: Orioles on 98 Rock / WBAL; Mariners on their flagship stations.

Tickets remain available via the Mariners site and secondary markets, with prices starting in the low-to-mid teens for upper-level seats.

- Ends

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